What the Latest Market Volatility Means (and What It Doesn’t)

By
Christian Harris, CFP®, CKA®
October 20, 2025
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If you’ve been following the markets lately, you’ve probably noticed a few bumps along the way. Stocks rise, then fall, then rise again — often for reasons that don’t seem to match what’s happening in everyday life.

For many retirees and near-retirees I talk with here in the Phoenix area, these swings can feel unsettling. When your investments are tied to your retirement income, it’s easy to wonder what it all means — and whether you should be doing something about it.

The truth is, volatility is normal. It’s not always comfortable, but it’s part of how markets function. And understanding that difference — between what volatility means and what it doesn’t — can help you stay focused on what matters most.

What Market Volatility Means

Volatility is simply the market’s way of processing new information. Every day, investors react to data about inflation, interest rates, earnings, and global events. Prices move because opinions change.

Short-term movement isn’t necessarily a sign of trouble; it’s evidence that markets are doing what they’re designed to do — adjust.

In my experience as a fiduciary financial planner, the people who navigate these periods most effectively are those who recognize that fluctuation is the cost of long-term opportunity. Market growth has never happened in a straight line.

What It Doesn’t Mean

Volatility doesn’t mean your plan is off track. It doesn’t mean you need to move to cash, change your allocation, or chase whatever seems safest.

A few years ago, I worked with a couple who felt uneasy after a stretch of market declines. We reviewed their plan together, and when they saw how their income strategy and diversified portfolio were built to handle ups and downs, their perspective shifted. The markets eventually recovered, and their plan stayed right on course.

The lesson: the right strategy anticipates volatility — it doesn’t try to avoid it.

Why a Planning-First Approach Helps

At Stillwater Financial Planning, everything begins with your plan, not the latest headline. That’s what allows a fee-only fiduciary financial advisor to bring perspective when emotions run high.

A sound plan:

  • Balances short-term spending needs with long-term growth.
  • Diversifies across markets so no single event dictates results.
  • Includes a clear process for rebalancing and reviewing risk.

When you understand how each piece fits together, the noise starts to fade — and your decisions become steadier.

A Little Historical Perspective

Every period of volatility feels unique while you’re in it, but history has been remarkably consistent: markets decline from time to time, recover at their own pace, and reward patience over panic.

Benjamin Graham, the father of value investing and mentor to Warren Buffett, once said that “in the short run, the market is a voting machine, but in the long run, it is a weighing machine.”

In other words, day to day, markets “vote” based on opinions and emotion. Over time, they “weigh” real value and fundamentals. Eventually, quality and patience tend to win out over noise and reaction.

That perspective reminds us that investing isn’t about predicting the next move; it’s about allowing time and discipline to do their work.

Bringing It All Together

Market swings are inevitable, but they don’t have to derail your plan. The more clearly you understand your retirement strategy — how your income, investments, and goals work together — the easier it becomes to stay confident through uncertainty.

If recent headlines have left you wondering whether your portfolio is still aligned with your plan, it might be time for a thoughtful review. Sometimes a second look provides all the reassurance you need.

Volatility is temporary. A well-built plan isn’t.

If you’d like an objective, fiduciary perspective on your retirement portfolio, schedule a short Discovery Call with Stillwater Financial Planning. We’ll explore whether our planning-first, fee-only approach can help you move forward with greater confidence and clarity about your financial future.

Disclaimer: This is not an offer to buy or sell securities. No investment process is free of risk and there is no guarantee that the investment process described herein will be profitable. Investors may lose all of their investments. Past performance is not indicative of current or future performance and is not a guarantee.

Investment advice offered through IHT Wealth Management, a registered investment advisor

THE JOURNEY TO STILLWATER How I Got Here

My story with financial planning started earlier than most - my dad is a financial advisor, and I grew up around the business. But like a lot of kids, I had dreams of setting my own course.

After college, I worked at a marketing agency, spent time overseas, and eventually served on staff with Young Life. Ministry taught me the value of walking with people through the ups and downs of life. I loved that work - and I started to realize I wanted to find a career where I could keep helping people in meaningful, practical ways.

That’s what led me to financial planning.

I went back to school, earned my MBA and became a CFP®. After working at a major investment firm, I joined a high-end private family office, where I got to work closely with attorneys, CPAs, and clients on everything from tax and estate planning to charitable giving.

Both experiences were valuable - but they also exposed two ends of a spectrum. One was too templated and sales-focused. The other was custom and thoughtful, but only accessible to a very small, very wealthy group.

I wanted to serve real people - families in transition, professionals navigating complexity, couples trying to be wise stewards of what they’ve built. So I started Stillwater Financial Planning.

Next Steps

Let’s Have a Conversation

You don’t have to figure this out on your own. If you’re looking for financial guidance that’s personal, clear, and grounded in what matters most - I’d be honored to connect.

Let’s talk about where you are, where you want to go, and how to build a plan that gets you there with peace and confidence.

Schedule Your Discovery Call
No pressure. Just honest, helpful guidance.